Bank of America moved its USD/KRW forecast down after the won hit its first-quarter 2026 target of 1,435 ahead of schedule. The rally followed a joint government and central bank statement on December 24 and reports of National Pension Service hedging on December 26.
BofA expects further won gains through 2026, citing a weaker global dollar and bond index inclusion for Korean Treasury bonds.
A forecast of continued won strength lowers the expected won cost of dollar-priced feed imports for Korean buyers. The main risk is strong retail demand for foreign assets, which could undermine the official support.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.