Loading…

Guosen Securities expects Chinese potassium chloride demand and prices to exceed forecasts in 2026, citing low port inventories of 2.51 million tons and a 1.5 million ton state reserve restocking need. The brokerage also notes Southeast Asian and Brazilian potash at $360-380 per ton CFR and new supply of only about 3 million tons in 2026-2027.
Low Chinese stocks and limited new capacity support higher potash prices into spring, raising fertilizer costs for grain and feed producers.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.