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Kasikorn Research forecasts the baht will strengthen to around 31.00 and 30.70 per dollar in the first half of 2026. Gold prices above $5,500 an ounce and expected Fed rate cuts are the main drivers.
The outlook projects a weaker baht in the second half.
A stronger baht driven by gold flows and Fed expectations shifts the currency backdrop for Thai export margins. Feed buyers see little direct impact unless the baht trend affects Thai demand.
nationthailand.comJan 31, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
