The pound hovered just below $1.38, near its strongest level since August 2021, as the dollar weakened after President Trump said he was comfortable with its decline. Oil rose after Trump rejected an Iranian proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
Markets priced a high chance of a Bank of England rate hike later in the year.
Dollar weakness supports dollar-priced commodities for overseas buyers, while higher oil supports energy-linked feed costs. The net effect on feed prices is modest.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.