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The dollar has fallen 2.6% since the start of 2026, after a 9.5% drop in 2025. The euro reached $1.20 for the first time since 2021, and the pound and yen also hit recent highs against the dollar.
A sustained dollar decline makes US exports more competitive and raises import costs for eurozone buyers, which can support US commodity prices and feed input costs in Europe.
dw.comArthur SullivanJan 28, 2026After 1,637 past bearish macro events, DXY moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
After 388 past bullish macro events, EURUSD moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.4% to +1.1%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
