
The dollar closed its second straight weekly loss, with the DXY falling to around 95.50 before recovering after the Fed kept rates at 3.50%-3.75%. Markets are now focused on US labour data, and analysts expect the Fed to cut rates twice in 2026.
Expected Fed easing tends to keep the dollar soft, which supports dollar-priced commodity demand from abroad. The outlook depends on labour data, so volatility in grain and oilseed prices may follow the currency.
After 359 past neutral macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.4%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.