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USDA APHIS data show 285 commercial flocks were lost to HPAI in the US in 2025, with 137 in Ohio and Indiana. Ohio's 70 infections all occurred in the first four months of the year, while Indiana's losses ran January through March and October through December.
Concentrated Midwest flock losses reduced layer and turkey output in past months, but the figures are historical and carry limited new price impact.
After 145 past neutral disease events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.