US egg prices jumped back above $1.20 per dozen from a multi-year low near $0.33 on January 13. Renewed HPAI culling in several producing states and new bird flu cases in the Netherlands tightened supply, while a mid-January Arctic cold snap boosted retail demand.
Renewed layer culling reduces poultry flock size and raises feed demand expectations, while elevated corn and soymeal costs are cited as slowing flock rebuilding.
After 145 past neutral disease events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 98 past neutral disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.5%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.