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USDA raised its 2025 U.S. corn production estimate above 17 billion bushels by lifting the yield 0.5 bushel to 186.5 bushels per acre and increasing harvested acres. The yield came in well above analysts' pre-report estimates.
A record corn crop well above expectations increases available supply for feed users and pushes corn prices lower.
After 1,102 past bearish report events, Corn moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (47% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.3%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.