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UOB economists expect broad US dollar softness and an additional 25 basis point Bank of Thailand rate cut in the first quarter of 2026 to keep USD/THB biased lower. They say the pace of baht appreciation will moderate after the gold-market correction and administrative curbs on gold-linked FX.
Continued baht strength would gradually weigh on Thai export competitiveness, though a moderating pace limits the impact. Feed commodity prices are only marginally affected.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.