Three commercial poultry flocks in Pennsylvania and Dauphin County were confirmed positive for highly pathogenic avian influenza on February 17. Two laying hen flocks and one pullet flock were involved, with 2.6 million birds in one Lancaster County layer flock.
The US egg industry's 2022-26 HPAI losses now exceed 150 million birds.
Layer losses tighten egg supply and can lift wholesale prices, modestly supporting demand for feed used by layers. The effect on feed grain prices is limited given the size relative to the total feed market.
After 145 past neutral disease events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +0.0% over 20.
After 98 past neutral disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (44% higher; middle half -1.9% to +1.5%), and -0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.