
The ringgit and other Asian currencies weakened against the US dollar on Monday as investors moved to safe havens amid escalating US-Israel war tensions with Iran. The DXY rose 0.5% week on week to 100.15, and Brent traded near its 2022 highs.
JP Morgan said Malaysia is well placed to withstand the shock as a net oil exporter.
Dollar strength tied to the energy shock raises import costs for Asian feed buyers priced in local currency. Higher crude also feeds biofuel and vegetable oil demand.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
After 323 past bullish macro events, BRENT moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.