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The Bank of Canada held its key rate at 2.25% on March 18 but said it was ready to raise rates if higher energy prices became persistent inflation. Governor Macklem said it was too early to assess the war's effect, and markets priced in a hold at the next decision.
A possible future BoC hike would support the loonie against the USD, while the current hold keeps rate differentials tilted toward USD strength and the CAD relatively weak for Canadian oilseed exporters.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.