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A hedging column notes that forward hog margins have returned to levels similar to late 2025, despite geopolitical volatility. It cites the March Hogs and Pigs report, with a breeding herd of 5.892 million head, down 1.5% and the smallest March inventory since 2014.
USDA projects 3.1% pork export growth in 2026.
A shrinking breeding herd and steady margins support hog prices into the second half of 2026. Export growth depends on disease and trade policy, which could shift the demand outlook.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.