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Russia has raised its export duties on sunflower oil and sunflower meal, which is reducing margins for Russian crushers and weakening their shipments. Domestic sunflower seed prices in Russia are under pressure as a result.
Russian-origin sunflower product may lose share in April and May, with Ukraine positioned to gain. This is moderately supportive for global sunflower meal and oil prices, though competing suppliers limit the upside.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.