The Ag Transport Coalition reported that CN and CPKC together supplied 68% of hopper cars ordered in week 29, down from 78% the week before and the worst result this year. CPKC supplied only 52% of orders, its weakest week of the year.
System performance has stayed below the 90% threshold for five straight weeks.
Persistent hopper car shortages slow Canadian grain movement to port, which can build farm and elevator stocks and widen basis discounts. Prices at export positions may be pressured while shipments remain delayed.
After 163 past neutral logistics events, Wheat (SRW) moved a median +0.1% over 5 sessions (53% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.1%), and -0.3% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.