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The rupee breached 95 per dollar on Thursday, hitting an all-time low of 95.34 as fresh West Asia war concerns pushed Brent crude to a four-year high near $126. Domestic equities fell as much as 1.6% intraday before closing 0.75% lower, after the Federal Reserve held rates at 3.5-3.75% with hawkish commentary.
Rising crude and a firmer dollar raise India's import bill and the cost of dollar-priced commodities, while the Fed's hawkish tone supports the greenback and pressures emerging-market currencies.
indianexpress.comAkash MandalApr 30, 2026Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 323 past bullish macro events, BRENT moved a median +0.7% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -2.9% to +3.7%), and +1.3% over 20.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, DXY moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
