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The 2026 total barley harvest is expected to fall significantly due to reduced planted area and weather risks. New-crop Ukrainian barley is priced at $205-207/t, below old-crop at $217-222/t, and Turkish and Jordanian import demand is supporting prices.
A smaller expected crop and steady import tenders support barley values, favoring sellers of remaining old-crop stocks.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.