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China's Ministry of Commerce finalised its anti-dumping investigation into Canadian canola seed on February 28, 2026, setting a 5.9% duty on top of the 9% MFN tariff for a combined 14.9% from March 1, 2026, for five years. The ruling confirms dumping and harm, leaving a legal basis for future re-escalation.
The lower combined tariff improves Canadian seed flows to China, but the preserved legal basis for re-escalation adds risk to future canola meal and seed demand.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.