New World Screwworm cases surge, yet reopening speculation persists

After 148 past bullish disease events, Live Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (62% higher; middle half -0.5% to +1.2%), and +1.4% over 20.

• Dec 21, 2023USDA protects livestock producers against New World screwworm outbreaks | The National Provisioner+0.7%
• Feb 27, 2023The National Directorate of Animal Health, in response to the unusual increase in cases of New World Screwworm in the Province of Darién, announces – COPEG+0.9%
• Nov 25, 2024US suspends Mexican cattle imports after New World screwworm case | Reuters+1.6%
• Aug 15, 2025USDA Announces Sweeping Plans to Protect the United States from New World Screwworm | USDA+1.1%
• Dec 23, 2024Animal health concerns impacting US cattle trade with Mexico | The National Provisioner+0.8%

After 122 past bullish disease events, Feeder Cattle moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -1.0% to +1.6%), and +2.0% over 20.

• Dec 21, 2023USDA protects livestock producers against New World screwworm outbreaks | The National Provisioner-0.7%
• Nov 25, 2024US suspends Mexican cattle imports after New World screwworm case | Reuters+1.0%
• Aug 15, 2025USDA Announces Sweeping Plans to Protect the United States from New World Screwworm | USDA+4.7%
• Dec 23, 2024Animal health concerns impacting US cattle trade with Mexico | The National Provisioner+2.4%
• Jan 3, 2026U.S. livestock: Cattle futures surge as second screwworm case announced | The Western Producer+1.3%