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The US is pressing Ukraine to ease restrictions on Belarusian potash imports and to seek similar easing from European partners. Analysts estimate that lifting the restrictions could cut potassium chloride prices by $70 to $80 per tonne from current Ukrainian import levels of $350 to $380.
Potential access to cheaper Belarusian supply could pressure potash prices lower. However, EU sanctions and reliance on Russian logistics currently limit that effect.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.