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USDA's first 2026 sunflower estimate puts US production at 2.38 billion pounds, up 3%, with planted area up 8% to about 1.39 million acres. Oil-type seed stocks in March were up 48% from a year earlier.
Larger US sunflower supply supports higher domestic crush and more sunflower meal and oil availability, a bearish factor for sunflower meal prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 146 past bearish report events, Soybean Oil moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (49% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.9%), and +0.4% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.