
Retail shell egg prices are down about 62% year over year, and farm-gate prices for shell eggs are down 93%. Breaker egg prices have fallen to 8 cents per dozen, well below break-even, after roughly 21 million birds were lost to HPAI from January to March 2026.
Detections have since dropped sharply.
Below-breakeven prices could push producers out of the market and speed consolidation, which lowers long-run layer numbers and could support future egg prices. Lower egg prices also reduce competing protein demand for poultry and feed use only indirectly.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.