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Federal Reserve officials are concerned that rising supply chain risks could make inflation more persistent. The policy rate has held in the 3.50%-3.75% range since December, and an extended pause is possible.
A longer pause in rate cuts keeps financing costs and the dollar firm, which can weigh on commodity prices and affect the cost of imported inputs.
After 4,478 past macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (51% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.5%), and +0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.