
IFFO data show global fishmeal output fell 38% year on year in March 2026, and first-quarter production was down 28% versus 2025. Fish oil output declined less, down 12% over the first quarter.
Peru's anchovy quota and China's muted seasonal demand are cited as key factors.
Sharply lower fishmeal supply from Peru, which produces about 20% of global output in a typical year, tightens the protein market. Buyers should expect firmer fishmeal prices and more substitution toward soymeal.
After 414 past bullish report events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -2.1% to +2.3%), and +0.3% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.