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Barclays expects the rand to strengthen in the near term, citing a model estimate that it is about 1% undervalued. The bank says the South African Reserve Bank's tightening path supports the currency in the short run.
Over the medium term, Barclays expects USD/ZAR to rise as the dollar gains.
This is a bank forecast rather than a new event, and it indicates a near-term firmer rand, which lowers USD/ZAR. Its effect on feed costs for South African buyers is small.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.