
MUFG says US Treasury yields have eased only slightly, keeping real yields elevated and supporting dollar demand. The bank notes that Asian currencies have broadly depreciated and that markets still price a possible Fed hike around October.
Persistent high real yields keep the dollar firm and Asian currencies under pressure, which raises the local-currency cost of dollar-priced feed imports in Asia.
After 2,356 past bullish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -0.3% to +0.7%), and +0.4% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.