
Analysts say China has bought about 11.96 million tonnes of US soybeans by mid-June, roughly matching the 12 million tonne commitment from late 2025, though the timeline is unclear. Purchases are expected to continue at 25 million tonnes a year from 2026 through 2028.
Confirmed Chinese buying supports US soybean demand and export flows, which can lift soybean prices and, via canola ties, related oilseed markets.
After 696 past bullish trade events, Soybeans moved a median +0.3% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.3% to +1.9%), and +0.7% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.