
The ringgit closed marginally higher at 4.0875/0915 on July 29 ahead of the FOMC decision. Traders were also weighing elevated crude prices and the possibility of a hawkish Fed tone.
Reports said the US military had intercepted Iranian ballistic missiles, which pushed crude higher.
Higher crude prices raise energy-driven inflation expectations, which can support the dollar through Fed policy. That in turn pressures Asian currencies and raises import costs for feed inputs priced in dollars.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 487 past bullish macro events, Crude Oil (WTI) moved a median +1.0% over 5 sessions (60% higher; middle half -2.0% to +4.0%), and +1.5% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.