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Nomura targets USD/CNH at 6.55 by end-October, citing Chinese exporters converting dollar revenues into yuan. June's FX settlement surplus was $81.8 billion, the largest since December 2025.
Sustained corporate yuan buying supports a stronger currency, which lowers China's dollar costs for imported feed and can modestly support Chinese buying power.
After 362 past bearish macro events, Chinese Yuan (CNY per USD) moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.4% to +0.1%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.