
The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell about 0.3% after the Fed held rates at 3.50%-3.75% with three dissents favoring a hike. Chair Kevin Warsh said officials were watching rising Treasury yields, and traders cut the odds of a September hike to a bit above 50%.
A softer dollar and fewer hike bets usually support dollar-priced commodities and reduce pressure on import-cost currencies. The effect on feed prices is indirect and depends on how far the dollar move holds.
After 1,637 past bearish macro events, US Dollar (Broad) moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (39% higher; middle half -0.6% to +0.3%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.