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A Louisiana farm article notes September rough rice futures trading near $13.75 per cwt, above USDA's May farm price of $11.40. It describes farmer margins being squeezed by production costs despite good yields in Acadia Parish.
Higher futures support farm-level returns over time, but the article is a feature on farm economics rather than a new supply shock.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.