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China's tariff relief on Canadian canola, peas and seafood is scheduled to expire at the end of December 2026, and Ottawa is seeking an extension. Prairie growers face planting and marketing decisions for 2027 before the terms are known.
Chinese tariff relief covers roughly $4 billion of annual Canadian canola seed exports; uncertainty over the expiry weighs on canola meal and seed demand and basis, with bearish risk if relief lapses.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.