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An explainer describes how Peru's anchoveta catch drives world fishmeal supply, since Peru's output swings while output elsewhere stays near 4.5 million tonnes. It cites historical El Niño-linked collapses and the World Bank fishmeal price benchmark.
The explainer confirms that a poor Peruvian season can lift fishmeal prices sharply, which matters for protein buyers planning forward purchases. It is background rather than news.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.