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A Missouri Bootheel rice farmer has marketed about 20% of his crop and is holding back sales because basis has widened. He says cash needs to reach about $6.75 to breakeven, and cash is currently in the low $6s.
Wide basis reflects milled rice prices lagging futures, so growers hold supply until cash bids improve, which can tighten nearby physical availability.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.