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An AAFC outlook projects Canadian principal field crop production at 101.5 million tonnes, down about 5% from the record 2025 harvest. Canola is heading toward another large crop and record domestic crush, and carry-out stocks are 19% above the five-year average.
Record canola crush supports meal output, but large carry-in stocks cap upside in canola meal prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.