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EU chicken output has grown but become more volatile, with Polish production about 20% lower in July at roughly 200,000 tonnes versus 250,000 a year earlier. Output has since stabilised, and Vesper expects Polish prices to soften further in the near term, while bird flu and Newcastle disease remain contained.
The July supply gap has largely worked through, so softer Polish prices point to weaker EU chicken prices unless new disruption emerges.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.