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USDA's first 2026 sunflower production estimate is 2.3 billion pounds, down 1 percent from 2025. Yield forecasts are lower in most major states, with Texas the exception, and the national yield is 1,761 pounds per acre.
The slightly smaller US crop is a minor supportive factor for sunflower meal and oil, but the change is small relative to the broader oilseed balance.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.