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Drought and heat have cut sunflower yields in France, Hungary, Austria, Slovakia and Germany, while Bulgaria and Romania report above-average crops. Ukrainian and Bulgarian offers have firmed only modestly so far.
Localized shortfalls in Western and Central Europe tighten nearby crusher supply and widen basis, which supports sunflower meal prices, though ample Black Sea supply limits the rally.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.