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Rough rice futures held above $16.00/cwt into late October, with the early-October futures average the highest since July 2024. Analysts set base, bull and bear cases ahead of the November 10, 2026 WASDE, with ending stocks forecast at 40.0 million cwt.
Price levels are being supported by tight stocks and a season-average farm price near $15.20/cwt, so the USDA report is the next catalyst for US rice values.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.