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China's planned 10% tariff on US soybeans was left out of recent US-China tariff cuts. Analysts doubt the 25 million tonne annual purchase target can be met while the levy stays.
Soybean futures had fallen back below $13 after a late-September sell-off.
Uncertainty over Chinese demand for US beans limits export sales, but tight stocks and strong crush support prices, leaving the net direction mixed.
farmprogress.comBruce BlytheOct 7, 2026After 250 past neutral trade events, SOY moved a median +0.0% over 5 sessions (50% higher; middle half -1.4% to +1.6%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.
