
China's suspension of 100% tariffs on Canadian canola meal and peas runs through December 31, 2026, and Beijing has not said whether it will extend the arrangement. More than $2 billion a year in Canadian exports depends on the outcome.
A signal may come at the APEC summit in Shenzhen on November 18-19.
Expiry without extension would put Canadian canola meal back under a 100% Chinese tariff, reducing competitive demand and pressuring Canadian meal prices. Clarity on the decision would help set near-term meal trade expectations.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.