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Brazil and the USA together accounted for nearly 50% of grain shipments in the first quarter of 2026. Grain cargoes from the US Gulf to the Far East are avoiding the Panama and Suez canals and routing via the Cape of Good Hope.
BRS Dry Bulk reported that sea-borne grain volumes rebounded 10.8%.
Longer Cape routings increase ton-miles and lift demand for vessel capacity, which supports ocean freight rates and raises delivered costs for US Gulf grain into Asia.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.