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The Panama Canal Authority lowered draft limits over El Niño concerns while canal traffic is unusually high because Hormuz closure has redirected LNG and LPG to Asia via Panama. Water reservoirs are near record highs.
Elevated transit demand and possible future El Niño restrictions could raise freight costs and slow US Gulf grain exports to Asia.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 54 past bullish logistics events, NATGAS moved a median -1.8% over 5 sessions (43% higher; middle half -5.7% to +6.2%), and +5.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.