The USDA AMS Grain Transportation Report shows rail originations, barge movements and Gulf vessel loadings all higher year over year. Gulf-to-Japan ocean grain rates rose 1% to $46.25 per metric ton, and unshipped corn and soybean export balances were 17.98 million tons, up 18%.
Strong vessel loadings and rising ocean rates suggest firm export demand and tighter Gulf shipping space. Higher freight costs narrow the net return on US grain sold to Asia.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 770 past neutral report events, Corn moved a median +0.2% over 5 sessions (54% higher; middle half -1.1% to +1.6%), and +0.7% over 20.
After 563 past neutral report events, Soybeans moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.7% to +1.6%), and -0.1% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.