
Iowa officials say 2022 avian influenza losses were far smaller than in 2015, with 19 sites and 13 million birds affected versus 77 sites and 30 million birds. Producers credit improved biosecurity and faster response, which they expect to carry over to ASF planning.
Smaller poultry losses mean less disruption to feed demand than in 2015, while improved biosecurity lowers the expected risk of prolonged pork supply shocks.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 145 past neutral disease events, Corn moved a median +0.4% over 5 sessions (58% higher; middle half -1.2% to +1.7%), and +0.0% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.