Johns Hopkins reports that US H5N1 infections in birds and mammals have declined, and that the CDC has moved from weekly to monthly reporting. The article records three US human cases in 2025 compared with 67 in 2024.
The decline in detections lowers the near-term risk to poultry and dairy supply. Officials still expect risk to rise with the return of migratory birds.
After 645 past disease events, Lean Hogs moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (48% higher; middle half -1.8% to +2.1%), and +0.9% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
After 615 past disease events, Soybean Meal moved a median -0.2% over 5 sessions (46% higher; middle half -1.8% to +1.8%), and -0.2% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.