
EFSA, ECDC and the EU reference lab reported 442 HPAI outbreaks in domestic birds and 2,454 in wild birds across 29 European countries between 6 September and 28 November 2025. Wild bird detections are the highest for this period since 2016, and poultry farm outbreaks have mainly come from wild bird introductions.
Scientists expect high virus circulation to continue until late winter.
Continued poultry outbreaks reduce European flock sizes and raise trade risk, which supports poultry and feed demand. Tighter European poultry supply could firm chicken prices.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.