FAO and other sources report rising transboundary animal disease threats, including ASF, avian influenza, New World screwworm and FMD, with spread driven by animal movement and weak veterinary capacity. South Africa faces recurring FMD outbreaks that have disrupted livestock movement and beef exports.
FAO estimates avian influenza has caused losses of more than 633 million poultry.
Recurring FMD in South Africa restricts beef and livestock movement and export access, which can weigh on local cattle prices and support demand for imported beef.
After 69 past neutral disease events, Live Cattle moved a median -0.1% over 5 sessions (42% higher; middle half -0.8% to +0.6%), and +0.9% over 20.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.