
Idaho recorded 40 confirmed HPAI cases in dairy herds in the 30 days to June 29, with eight new dairy cases and a Canyon County poultry farm losing 3,000 birds in the week of June 22-28. Across the US, only five other cases occurred in the past month, in Utah and Texas.
The state veterinarian described the outbreak as surging.
Concentrated dairy losses in Idaho, a top dairy state, can tighten milk supply and lift Class III milk prices, while poultry losses add a small upward pressure on chicken prices.
After 22 past bullish disease events, Milk (Class III) moved a median -0.0% over 5 sessions (45% higher; middle half -0.9% to +0.5%), and -2.8% over 20.
Not enough comparable past events yet for a historical read.
Moves of each commodity's benchmark from the last close before the event. Historical reads pool past events of the same kind; they describe what happened, not what will. Not investment advice.